Last month's Rant provoked a couple of interesting responses...Dear Mr. Zepezauer:
Regarding your last month's "Publisher's Rant," the will of the voter [sic] was not "safely ignored with impunity" regarding Prop 200. In 1995 the voters approved a measure that directed the City to recharge CAP water. It did not require that recharge occur only in streambeds!
Recharge in our area has occurred in Avra Valley, near Pima Mine Road (Sahuarita area), Atterbury Wash and at BKW Farms. CAP recharge in 1999 will be five times that recharged in 1996.
If you really want to rant about not following the will of the people, then you need only look to your fellow social engineers on the council (Leal, Anderson, Miller and Marcus). They voted for the no smoking ordinance after the voter [sic] said no to the idea. They have simply ignored the will of the people.
Regarding the mayoral race, Democrats (prominent and otherwise) "deserted" McKasson because she was unqualified. If you attended council meetings as I have [sic] when she was a member of that body, you would understand the Democrat's [sic] level of trepidation regarding her candidacy.
Respectfully,
D. Charles Freitas, Chairman
Safe and Sensible Water Committee
(and a NON-smoker)
Thank you for your respectful gloating, Mr. Freitas. It appears I have misspoken. The use of the word "ignored" was unfortunate on my part. In the case of Prop 200, the will of the voters was not ignored Ð it was scrutinized with great care by a pack of lawyers (at taxpayer expense) in order to locate the loophole you identified.
The electorate did, in fact, direct the City to use CAP water "to prevent land subsidence and augment Tucson's groundwater supply by basin and stream bed recharge." But since we never assumed the City would be treacherous enough to wriggle out of this commitment, the words "in the central wellfield" were inadvertently omitted. We tried in vain to correct that omission last month.
That fatal omission allowed the creative legal interpretation that recharge could occur anywhere in Pima County - hence the boondoggles you cite above, which not only avoid streambeds, but contribute absolutely nothing to solving the problem of subsidence, as they are taking place far from the aquifer in question. So score one for you guys.
Of course it sounds pretty impressive that this year's recharge is five times that of 1996 - until you realize that because the City was dragging its feet so assiduously that year, virtually no recharge at all took place. Since the voters also directed the City to swap CAP water with mines and farmers (for whom it was intended in the first place), so that clean drinking water could be freed up for actual consumers, the projects you cite were instituted, again, about as far as possible from where they could do any good for Tucson Water customers.
The BKW Farms project mostly (well, almost completely) benefits a wealthy family of land barons, who took some $2-3 million from us unsophisticated taxpayers in return for virtually worthless paper credits for 10,000 acre/feet of water. Since the City already holds some 3 million acre/feet of such paper credits, I can't help questioning the wisdom of this deal.
Likewise, the Pima Mine Road venture is a lovely gift to the pecan orchards owned by a Chicago-based agribusiness firm. Not only will it take up to 100 years to seep into our groundwater, it has the added virtue of being located near a toxic waste dump.
And as far as I can tell, there is no recharge of CAP water taking place at Atterbury Wash, though there is recharge of effluent. It's an apt comparison, but not exactly what we had in mind. Of course all of this recharge put together is only a fraction of our allotment from the CAP canal - for which we have paid some $27.15 million since we stopped using it in 1995. We also paid several million to dig the holes out in Avra Valley for recharge - and tens of millions more for "recovery" costs so Tucson Water could treat it and hand out samples in plastic bottles.
Not to mention the $250 million spent on the failed infrastructure to deliver CAP water to our homes, or the $103 million for the chemical treatment plant to remove pesticide residue and other toxins, or, of course, the millions of dollars in damages paid out for the resultant lawsuits. All of this - nearly a third of a billion dollars - in order to ignore, sorry, circumvent the clear will of the people that our pure groundwater be used for drinking and CAP be recharged into the aquifer.
And then, on top of this sorry record, the City spends another $3 million to convince us to let the "experts" handle this problem. Which they did, unfortunately, with the help of a the State of Arizona and a torrent of soft money from you folks in the Growth Lobby. Well, you bought this election fair and square (well, square, anyway), so I guess you should have your chance to make this town into another Phoenix. But once you've completely overbuilt this basin beyond its sustainable carrying capacity, who's going to be left holding the bag?
Regarding Ms. McKasson: I did speak with some people who'd worked with her and had some reservations about her coalition-building skills, but who were nevertheless happy to support her because of her uncommon integrity and impressive command of the issues. That, along with the curious geographic split of the electorate along class lines, tends to support my thesis that money was the key factor in the upset.
And hey, how come it's only social engineering if the left does it? What would you call huge corporate welfare projects that subsidize sprawl and ignore the spirit (if not the letter) of the law? Anti-social engineering?
I saw your editorial in the News for Nov. 1999 and realized that you don't really understand what is happening in our society. I might say that many technical journal editors are in the same boat, you think that if someone only comes up with a good idea we can go back to the 3 class society that existed for about 100 years.
The two class society, Upper and Lower, is far older and longer lasting---that is the way we are going and it is happening in every developed country on the planet. I could discuss the reasons for this, it is not a right wing plot, but I don't think you would be interested.
One last comment, at the Downtown Public Library there is no place to pay for your Newspaper---if I wanted to. You can't expect the Library to collect your money.
Stuart A. Hoenig
First things first - I'm not allowed to collect money for my paper in public libraries, hence the lack of a coinbox. Anyone whose conscience is bothering them can drop their donation in at another location, or, as some do, mail me a check for six bucks and avoid fumbling for change all year. But either way, it's optional. It's far more important that folks support my advertisers than that they pay for the paper.
Second, Mr. Hoenig, you may be surprised to learn that I don't think that everything is a right-wing plot. Still, right-wingers do plot from time to time, as that jury in Memphis just affirmed in the case of the plot to kill Martin Luther King. In general, right-wing plots do tend to be more successful than the left-wing variety, since the right usually has more money and meaner lawyers (see above).
But Mr. H! What sort of world is this when those like yourself, who truly understand how society works, despair of explaining it to the unenlightened? Of course I'm interested in your explanation.
In my own feeble understanding, income inequality has been a cyclical phenomenon in this country. After a certain interval, the Upper tier aggregates too much of the wealth in too few hands, which leads to a deflationary spiral; the most recent being in the 1930s and 40s. Then an outraged Lower tier makes demands for progressive reforms, and for a time, wealth is more equally distributed, as during the 50s and 60s. Eventually Upper gets sick of this situation and moves more aggressively to undo the reforms - as in the 80s and 90s.
The reason this is cyclical is that it takes around sixty years for the older generation who crashed the economy to die off. Then they're not around to explain to their grandchildren what stupid mistakes they made, and the whole cycle starts over again. It's taking a little bit longer this time because of longer life spans, but the supremely stupid repeal of the Glass-Steagal Act is right on time.
As far as the rest of the developed world goes, they have their own cycles, and neoliberal economic policies are increasing inequality, particularly in the UK, but they're nowhere near as bad as we are, and Japan and Scandanavia have a far more even income distribution. It's also true that there are lower and middle-income countries with staggering inequality (Malaysia, Brazil, Kenya), and others which are more equitable (India, South Korea, Morocco). So it's not really a function of development, but of political decisions.
And either way, the United States is among the most unequal societies on Earth, rich or poor - and as I mentioned, Tucson is one of the most unequal cities in the US.
But what do I know? I thought having a large and prosperous middle class was a desirable thing; one of the greatest achievements of my parents' generation. And it didn't happen by accident. It was, if you will, a left-wing plot, one involving such things as a progressive income tax, the GI Bill, strong unions, and a very different sort of leadership at the Federal Reserve.
So how could I not be interested in the reasons those things have been cast aside? You wound me, sir.
But hey, speaking of right-wing plots, ignoring the will of the people and staggering inequality, how about that WTO meeting?
I've got more to say about that - lots more, in fact, but we're out of room. Suffice it to say: Big Money doesn't win every time. Happy Holidays!
Subject: RE YOUR ANSWER
Date: Thu, 16 Dec 1999 18:09:34 -0700
From: Stuart Hoenig
To: Mark Zepazaur
comicnews@earthlink.net
I read your "answer" to my letter of Nov. and I must say you have new ideas. I had never heard of the 60 year cycle and no one ever mentioned it at the Universities of Michigan, Maryland or UC Berkeley. You should present this material more widely, I for one would be fascinated.
Apparently you don't think that computers have made and will make a real change in our Society. Just looking at buying over the Web in the Wall Street Journal would change your mind, but I guess you wouldn't look at that Fascist newspaper. The 3 Class system is rapidly going to a 2 Class system but again if you don't pay attention to it maybe it will go away. (I recall people said that about Hitler too.)
In any case there are many people who think the way you do, I suspect that they don't want to face the idea of living in a 2 Class society. I don't blame them, many more will move Down than Up.
Prof. Stuart A. Hoenig, P.E., Ph.D
Dear Prof. Hoenig:
Having read your answer to my "answer" I must say I'm disappointed. First you leap to conclusions as to whether or not I'd be interested in your explanation of how the world works. Now you make similarly unfounded assumptions as to what I would or would not be willing to read. But at the same time your crisis of confidence regarding your ability to enlighten ignorant wretches like myself continues, in that you don't make much of an effort to do so.
However on the basis of your argument so far, I'm beginning to suspect your lack of self-confidence may be justified. I certainly hope you do a better job of educating your students than you do arguing with me. I'm always willing (nay, eager) to dialogue with those of opposing viewpoints. The problem here is (and I'm sure it's entirely my fault) that I can barely figure out what you're trying to say.
First of all, the fascinating ideas I discuss in this month's Rant are not my own, nor are they new. But as they say about summer re-runs on TV: if you haven't seen it before, it's new to you. If no one ever mentioned the economic theories of Nicolai Kondratieff or Joseph Schumpeter at Michigan, Maryland or Berkeley, it's not my fault; but it doesn't seem to be yours either, since apparently they were also failing to teach logic, rhetoric or even grammar.
My own exposure to these ideas came mainly (but by no means exclusively) from a wonderful article by Donella H. Meadows in the Summer 1998 issue of Whole Earth magazine, entitled "The Long Wave: Or, Why Asian Economies are Collapsing and Democrats are Cutting Welfare." I will make no assumptions about your willingness to glean insights from such an airy-fairy source; I will simply append it below and allow you to consume or ignore it as you see fit. Note, however, that if you consult the dead-tree edition at your local library it contains a number of useful graphs and charts as well as some droll little cartoons.
Next we come to what seems to be the crux of your argument. I'm at a loss to see how you decided what I do or don't think about computers, since the topic hadn't arisen before. No matter; as I understand it, your entire explanation of how the world works is that A), computers have made and will make a real difference; B), simply "looking at" accounts of e-commerce in the Wall Street Journal would bring me to your level of intellectual acuity; and thus C), we are rapidly becoming a two-tier society.
Please forgive me. I've read that paragraph over and over again, and I'm sure it's my fault but I still don't understand how the world works. I will try to go through it slowly in hopes of comprehending your superior world view. The first part was awfully tough, but after thinking about it real hard I've come to accept the wisdom of your position. By Jove, you're right! Computers are making a big difference in our society! How could I not have seen this before? Be patient with me, Professor. You're making progress.
But the second part is even tougher. You see, I actually have read articles on e-commerce in the Journal, and I don't feel any smarter. In fact, I kind of enjoy reading fascist publications; I'll read just about anything - right, left, center or extreme - that will help me understand how the world works. As my wife can tell you, I'd probably read a toothpaste tube rather than have nothing at all to read. And I get a particular kick out of the WSJ, given the amusing contradictions between their generally reliable reporting and the fanatical ideologies expressed on their editorial pages.
But it's true that I don't read the Wall Street Journal every day, and that's probably why I'm having so much trouble getting your point. Perhaps if I consumed it more religiously I would see why buying over the Web will destroy the middle class, but as it is I'm troubled. By my understanding, income inequality has been increasing since 1973, and yet e-commerce has been going on for only the past few years. How can this be? Perhaps the economy began to redistribute wealth upwards in anticipation of the invention of the Web? That must be it.
If I extrapolate, I might assume that your point is that because of e-commerce, traditional retailing and manufacturing will soon be extinct, along with the middle class which used to be employed in those sectors. Let's leave aside the surprising resilience of certain bricks-and mortar retail brands in competition with pure e-commerce sites. Are you telling me that the assurances of our political class, that we will all be comfortably absorbed by service-sector employment, are not to be taken seriously? I simply have to get better educated. Perhaps you could help me by citing actual articles from the Journal which advance your argument.
I do recall that both the Dutch and British Empires abandoned their manufacturing bases in favor of economic globalization and weakened their middle classes in favor of service-sector employment. I assume that the wisdom of those moves will pay off any day now, and they will be crawling out of the dustbin of history to assume their rightful place in the brave new 2 Class world.
But anyway, I gather that more frequent perusal of the Journal would enable me to fathom the logic of your A+B=C argument. Thus we come to your third point, that the more stratified economy of the postwar order is giving way to a more polarized one. This is, in fact, a phenomenon to which I have been paying attention. What I can't quite get from your answer to my "answer" is whether or not you believe this is both 1), inevitable and/or 2), desirable.
Forgive me for reading between the lines, but you do provide some clues. I gather you expect to remain a part of the Up Class once the middle has disappeared. My woefully infrequent reading of the Journal gives me some familiarity with the idea that the ongoing polarization redounds to the benefit of the better educated. Given the apparent deficiencies in the institutions you cited, I would caution you to take nothing for granted; nevertheless such an assumption would generally be well-founded.
I can almost discern some nascent sympathy for the downtrodden masses-to-be in your comment that you "don't blame them" for averting their eyes from their imminent immiseration, but the omission of any qualifier from the second half of that sentence is a possible clue that you regard such trends as inevitable. Please don't hesitate to correct me if I'm wrong, either on the sympathy or the inevitability.
(Note, as well, another law with which you may be unfamiliar: the value of an argument is inversely proportional to the number of Hitler analogies it employs.)
Recall that Keynes said, "the long run is a misleading guide to current affairs; in the long run we are all dead." Quite so, and economic history is littered with the corpses of those who thought certain trends to be inevitable. Likewise there have been more than a few investors transferred from the Up Class to the Down by mistaking the end of the business cycle for a paradigm shift.
Just recently I recall an economic assumption, mostly touted by the folks at the Wall Street Journal, that there was such a thing as the "natural rate of unemplyment," then thought to be about 6 per cent, below which we would inevitably suffer from increased inflation. Even more recently, there were widespread expectations that the Up countries would inevitably be able to continue imposing their will on the Down countries through the WTO; said inevitability seems to have been somewhat delayed.
You say that there are many people who think the way I do; perhaps you will not be surprised to hear that I don't think there are nearly enough. Nevertheless, I have been able to find some who are not only willing to face the idea of living in a 2 Class society, but who propose "good ideas" for countering such trends, including the aforementioned Lord Keynes. People who think like I do consider the destruction of the middle class to be a recipe for social unrest. Perhaps if we got a bit more guidance from people who think like you do, we would see the futility of any efforts to ameliorate such dislocations, but to date we persist in our perverse notions that justice is worth struggling for.
So let's review: I had the temerity to kvetch about economic inequality on the local, national and global levels. In response, you berate my lack of understanding and assert that polarization is the default paradigm in the developed world. In my "answer" I cite societies both developed and "developing" in which this is not exactly the case; this point you leave unchallenged, no doubt due to my insufficiencies in articulation. I make the main point that economic polarization is neither inevitable nor desirable, but that it is the result of political decisions. The sum total of your response is that "buying over the Web" explains your position.
I'm begging you, Professor: do not give up on me. Help me attain your level of sophistication. I realize that you teach people, for a living, what is happening in our society, and that you may be no more inclined to hand out free samples than a physician desires to diagnose ailments at a cocktail party. Perhaps that explains the abbreviated nature of your response. But you've been teasing me, and now I hunger for enlightenment. Further scrutiny of your Zen koan on the nature of the Web will no doubt reward me; imagine how much closer I could get to letting the Up Class have their way if you would just toss me another few nuggets of wisdom.
One last thing: I realize that the revolutionary nature of the Net has rendered obsolete such archaic matters as the standards regarding capitalization, punctuation or even traditional salutations. Nevertheless I would be grateful for the courtesy of having my name spelled correctly. It took me many years to master, though, so you should not be daunted by an initially unsuccessful effort. You will find an example below, preceding the article I promised you.
Yours truly,
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Mark Zepezauer ¥ Tucson Comic News
vox/fax: 520.320.5105 ¥ PO Box 510 Tucson AZ 85702
comicnews@earthlink.net ¥ http://iwhome.com/ComicNews
"We are put here to help others;
what the others are here for, I have no idea." -W.H. Auden
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,